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CNBC 59
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CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 7:00pm EDT
the politicalization of wall street right now, the ceos don't want to invest because they don't know about the tax cuts. but we have trillions of dollars that is ready to get into money flow. we need the money to get higher velocity and they're not doing it because they can't get a return on their investment. >> what's romney going to stay in the debate tomorrow to really articulate -- >> he's not going to be able to say those trillions can -- >> here's what romney said, to the extent that there's been any recovery at all, to the extent that there's been any economy growth at all, it's been -- whatever we have had has been completely funded -- remember what obama said, i'm going to build a new foundation. it's built on easy money and borrowing. >> the only argument, the only argument that romney and the republicans have is look how terrible things are, they're the america lose crowd. >> that's their only argument. >> so guess what, bright signs in the market you indicated today. bright signs in manufacturing. it couldn't possibly be because of good public policy. >> you realize this year's worse than l
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 8:00pm EDT
and your taxes. >> unlike president obama, i will not raise tax on the middle class of america. >> i want to reform the tax code so it's simple, fair. >> the candidates' opinions couldn't be more different and the stakes couldn't be higher. >> their philosophy is if you don't are health insurance, don't get sick. >> now is the moment we can do something. and with your help, we will do something. >> cnbc's coverage of the first presidential debate of the 2012 presidential election begins now. >> tonight some of the most influential figures in the nation on the economy join us here on cnbc. >> we've got representative and hopeful ron paul with us. texas, from texas. he is of course outspoken about the federal reserve policies. robert reich is here with us tonight. also with us grover norquist. the man behind the no new taxes pledge so many republicans made. and bob lutz a former top auto executive. the auto bailout expected to be a big topic tonight. and we've got president of the aflcio. unions of course a major constituency. and roger altman. as you can see the lineup card is full. going
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 7:00pm EDT
on the trail. it is the gift that keeps on giving. >> how they can justify. raising taxes in the middle class. it has been buried in the last four years. how in the lord's name. >> that is nodt a froidian slip. plus three stories that happen to break before the election. a leftist new york attorneyy general looking to bash banks and that is as phony as a $3 bill. also a judge strikes down pennsylvania's voter id law and the obama administration is telling companies it is okay to disregard the law when it comes to handing out pink slips in advance to big budget cuts. all three happening before the election. mitt romney has finally put meat on the bones of his tax reform idea. he floated the idea of a $17,000 cap on tax reform reduction. >> you could say everyone is going to get up to a $17,000 deduction. you can fill that bucket if you will and higher income people might have a lower number. >> this is brand new stuff. we have howard dean former vermont governor and candidate. and let's look at this for a second. what do you think? a $17,000 cap on tax deductions for everybody as a way of bein
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 3:00pm EDT
, downloading a dividend? what will apple do with its huge war chest and potentially devastating tax hikes? we'll drill to the core straight ahead. >>> and you heard it here first. >> look what mark did when he was at hp. people forget how much trouble hp was in when he took over. hp without mark herd, hp with mark herd, hp without mark herd. >> oracle's larry ellison said it here exclusively yesterday. today, hp gets hammered. another reason why "closing bell" is must-see tv. >>> and the man with the plan. mitt romney briefly unveils his version of tax reform ahead of tonight's presidential debate. but will it work to close the gap in the polls? we'll break it all down right here on the "closing bell." when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> welcome bac
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 7:00pm EDT
four years ago. i hate to say that. this is a choice between tax cuts and tax hikes. you need to make that case. now i want to hear from our panelists in the kudlow caucus. former clinton white house aide, keith boykin. rick lazio, former republican congressman from new york. rick lazio, i begin with you, good evening to you. >> hello, larry. >> this is a gigantic audience, the key issue of our time is still the economy and jobs. so far mitt romney has not been able to make the sale. that's what the polls show. that's why this thing is close. why hasn't he and what's he going to do tonight differently than he's done in the past. >> i think he's going to make the contrast with president obama, why expanding the pie is in the national interest. not redistributing an ever slowing economy but expanding the pie so everybody gets a job that wants a job, people's salaries are rising. i think he needs to lay out the picture, paint the picture for the audience, frankly, larry, of what america would look like after four years of pro-growth policies. more kid graduating and getting jobs that the
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 3:00pm EDT
? >> is it fair to use the flag to get the rich to pay more than their fair share of taxes? >>> plus, face time for facebook. >> chairs are for people. that is why chairs are like facebook. >> why is the billion-member social media giant suddenly running ads? we'll update their status ahead on the "closing bell." ♪ [ piano ] you. we know you. we know that at times the basic things have felt like luxuries. that you had to earn the right to more. and that you feel real pride. introducing a car made better for you in every way. and built in america for thirty years. the all-new honda accord. it starts with you. ♪ i was downstairs making coffee, and we heard it. it just came crashing through the roof, out of nowhere. what is it? it's our ira. any idea what coulda caused this? maybe. i just sorta threw a little money here, a little money there. and i loaded up on something my dentist told me was hot. yeah. ♪ >>> pretty decent rally on wall street so far today. bob is in the middle of it all here at the new york stock exchange. >> hello, william. they're talking the bulls are out. they're talki
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 7:00pm EDT
biden. >> up knyou know that phrase yo always use, "obama and biden want to raise taxes by $8 trillion." guess what? yes, we do in one regard. >> how they can justify raising taxes on the middle class has been buried the last four years. >> we want to bring on a special guest reince priebus. there's biden with a trillion dollar tax cut. the wonderful thing, there's the second one also, he said the middle class has got i don't know buried. they have gotten buried in the past four years. who's responsible for that? >> yeah, right. you know, it's amazing, these guys act like they must be living in an alternative universe. they forget the fact and i think president obama had this epiphany as well on stage wednesday night, they forget the fact that guess what, guy, president obama and joe biden, you guys have been in charge for the past four years. so all of your whining and all of your complaining, you can just look right in the mirror and figure out who's to blame because they're the ones that have been in charge. so, yes, the middle class have been buried. the other piece, the first part
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 6:00am EDT
worse economic news again. we saw that corporate tax has dropped by about a third from precrisis levels, basically small businesses are just not growing in this environment and big businesses are chasing profits abroad. so the government is just not getting the tax take on that front. in the asset classes, you can see some of the levels not that good at the moment. bundes still attracting a lot of attention. we've been waiting on spain to fishlgly l-- officially ask fo that aid. nonetheless, we're not seeing too much pressure on the periphery, 5.75%. let me send it back to you. >> thank you very much. the first presidential debate. john harwood is on the ground in denver. he joins us with the latest nbc news "wall street journal" poll. it looks like things are starting to even out at least a little. is this the bounce that president obama got after the democratic convention coming back down? >> well, i think it's the bounce from the convention and the surge that he got on top of the convention with that 47% video, so there is some good news for romney. not only our national poll, but a
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 7:00pm EDT
has been running around the country for the last year promising $5 trillion in tax cuts that favor the wealthy. the fellow on stage last night said he didn't know anything about that. >> now larry, mitt romney is speaking this evening in virginia. we'll see both candidates in virginia and ohio over the next 24 hours. that will give viewers on television a chance to decide whether that was the real mitt romney last night or it was the real barack obama at the debate, larry. >> all right. many thanks, we appreciate it. >>> so mitt romney outhustled, outfacted, outenergized and outinformed president obama. msnbc's chris matthews, an old pal of mine, completely went off the rails. take a listen to this. >> where was obama tonight? romney, i love the split screen. staring at obama. addressing him like the prey. he did it just right. i'm coming at an incumbent. i got to beat him. you got to beat the champ and i'm going to beat him tonight. what was romney doing? he was winning. >> he sure was, chris. he was winning big time. so now that romney is on a roll, where does he run after last n
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 6:00am EDT
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CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00am EDT
corporate tax revenue has tumbled. mariano rajoy issues the latest denial that he's ready for a bailout. >>> we now have the latest numbers crossing for the eurozone services pmi. the september final services read coming in at 46.1. an improvement that we have seen from the 46 number. this is still the lowest level we're seeing since 2009. the forward indication 49.4. in terms of what we're seeing on the final comp sit pmi, this is above the 45.9 read that we have, but just a fraction below what we saw in august, the rate was 46.3 then. this is the lowest read since may 2009. in terms of new business number for the composite september rate, 43.8. we're still right back at some of these 2009 lows. >>> elsewhere, the numbers are not that much better. lisa has more on these numbers out of china. >> official data showed china services sector fell sharply in september to its lowest level in almost two years. it shows the rest of the economy has started to feel the effect from the sluggish manufacturing sector. if you look at the breakdown of the services pmi, the construction services sub in
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 7:00pm EDT
in '85. >> well, look aat athe job -- >> thank ronald reagan. >> absolutely. that's why romney's tax plan is want plan we need. lower rates broaden the base. it worked in '86, '87, '88. worked in '81 and '82. let's pause there for a second. >> thanks for the lead-in about reagan. >> romney has victory in the deba debate. every single poll shows he's picked up 5, 6, 7 points. some of these local battleground states picked up 8, 9 points. is does that change your stock market outlook from bear to bull? >> you get rid of obama care and 3.8% tax on investment income and get the tax on medical device makers, larry. >> i will bet you $20 right now. i'll make a romney $10,000 bet that obama care is not repealed. >> i'll bet you it will be repealed, but i'll buy a gift for your new daughter. >> thank you. >> if romney wins, which was not expected a week ago but is now more expected, if he wins what is the stock market impact? is it greater than earnings and the federal reserve? how do you assess a romney victory? >> what becomes important is the effect on capital gains and dividend taxes. we as i
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 6:00pm EDT
higher stock prices? let me give you my eight-point plan. point number one, we have to eliminate the tax on dividends entirely. if they're tax-free, people will buy them. i trust the balance sheets of corporate america far more than i trust the government's balance sheet. this is hardly a reckless position and would encourage companies to reward shareholders by issuing and raising dividends. i would actually raise the tax on capital gains. why? you get gains when you sell stocks. i don't want people to sell stocks. i want them to own stocks, not sell them. plus if you raised the tax on capital gains, the company that do buybacks would continue to do them, continue to waste the shareholders' money like they do now. put the money in the owners' pockets, not the sellers' pockets, by encouraging saving, not flipping. point number two, we have to clean up these markets. clean up the markets and encourage people on the sidelines to come back in. clean up the stables, like hercules. i would do that by appointing preek bharara as attorney general of the united states of america and have him go a
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 12:00pm EDT
's getting pretty specific about favoring a cap on tax loopholes, and i think that's a great idea. i think it would, in fact, generate enough revenues to allow us to lock in on the bush tax cuts permanently. the question is whether the republican diehards who say no tax increase as whatsoever will sign up for that but we could have gridlock even if romney does win. >>> the stock which may be having its best week ever, plus one billion and counting. we'll get a status on facebook's budding friendships and what's in store for the nation's biggest retailers. we'll trade the newest monthly sales figures when halftime comes back. sometimes investing opportunities are hard to spot. you have to dig a little. fidelity's etf market tracker shows you the big picture on how different asset classes are performing, and it lets you go in for a closer look at areas within a class or sector that may be bucking a larger trend. i'm stephen hett of fidelity investments. the etf market tracker is one more innovative reason serious investors are choosing fidelity. get 200 free trades today and explore your nex
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 2:00pm EDT
to come up with consensus oriented decisions. and as a result, we have policies on tax policies and health care that could disappear in six months, for all we know. i think there is a lesson that congress ought to take from the way the fed chairman operates. >> first of all, i think one of the things we learned, lockhart became a dub as well. we know less. i wonder if jon would chime in on the true feelings of the board members. what we do know is that the board members, i think invariably, vote with the chairman. i can't think of an instance where a member of the board of governors has dissented from the chairman. part of that is by design because the chairman gets to kind of approve or disapprove in a very -- in a way the nominations of the president gets to say, no, i don't like this guy, then can work against that nomination if they don't like the person. but in general he has seven votes with the full board he brings to the table. then he doesn't really that have much work to do to get a consensus. the question is what's a good number. do you really want to come to the market with a c
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 6:00am EDT
the so-called political zingers. among the topics that generated the most heat, taxes. >> i don't have a $5 trillion tax cut. i don't have a tax cut of the scale that you're talking about. my view is that we ought to provide tax relief to people in the middle class. but i'm not going to reduce the share of taxes paid by high income people. high income people are doing just fine in this economy. they'll do fine whether you're president or i am. the people having the hard time are middle income americans. under the president's policy, middle income americans have been buried. they're being crushed. >> for 18 months he's been running on this tax plan. and now five weeks before the election he's saying that his big bold idea is never mind. and the fact is that if you are lowering the rates the way you describe, governor, then it is not possible to come up with enough deductions and loopholes that only affect high income individuals to avoid either raising the definite it or burdeneni ing the middle class. it's hamath. >> another hot topic, the deficit. >> it's now four years later, we stil
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 6:00am EDT
's got a lot of dough, and hasn't released any tax returns, zero tax returns i think. what did you find out, anything? >> billion in a prior story, not this story, when we looked at earmarks we did find earmarks that was very close to his undeveloped property. >> right, i saw a nice deal here on a land deal in 1998, 700 grand. anyway, just wondered. >> right, exactly. we have a whole host of stories that we've done that look more at this intersection between their duties and their personal assets and that's -- >> that's the best way, not with a couple of, you know, stock tips in congress. i like it ben they do the earmarks, where they buy something and then maybe check the former speaker, too. anyway, right? kimberly, thank you. appreciate it. >> thank you very much for having me. >> all right, see you. >>> oh, it's me. coming up, this morning's top stories set to foreboding music. the rails for the white house, both hitting the campaign trail. former governors face off in the issues and former hp boss carly fiorina, why she calls the board a serial dysfunction, and not like cereal. you
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 5:00pm EDT
and entitlements. he has been very specific. i think his tax program is pro growth. there is a lot of specificity and people look at it. it is the kind of thing the economy needs right now and that is what basic economics tells me. >> bernanke has sited your work as a big influence on current monetary policy yet mr. romney has said ben bernanke should be fired. are you advising that ben bernanke should get fired? >> i don't get into personnel issues. i would say on quoting different rules i think quantitative easing has not been helpful. i think we had good monetary policy in the '80s and '90s until recently. that is what we want to do. that is what the romney program is all about. >> john, i'm curious. there is a lot of talk about the evans rule and it is not quite the same as the taylor rule but it seems to go a way towards some of the things you have talked about in the past predominantly this idea of having more of a check on possible bubbles because i know you have been a big critic. what do you make of the evans rule and if it could be successful in tamping down that activity in the future?
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 4:00pm EDT
about blackrock. etfs have been enormously successful. this is the way to invest for transparency, tax efficiency, and yet it seems like vanguard keeps undercutting everyone on price. it s there a price war going on? >> not really because the market is evolving. first of all, fees are just one component of etfs. this is a stock. some etfs have much wider bid. that should be a component of how you analyze an etf cost. also, most etfs are indexed products. no one is focusing on what is the tracking error. i could tell you our i-shares etfs have far better tracking than our competitors. we've done a very good job. some of the products where there's a difference in fees, we have tracking -- a better tracking, as much as 40, 50 basis points. so i don't believe -- i think as etf become more kmodtized by nature, you're going to see a decline in prices. but the reality is that, you know, worldwide, we're the leader in etfs. we're the leader in europe. we're the leader in asia. we're the leader in south america. we still remain to be the largest leader in the united states. vanguard is a great
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 2:00pm EDT
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CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 4:00am EDT
in france, the tax rates? >> it's a nice story, but all the budgets have been way too optimistic. it's not i78 possibmpossible, b challenging. >> all right. my quote of the day already. sterling in reaction to that hasn't moved an awful lot. as far as -- i get so used to looking at my old camera and i'm not looking at this one, so i do apologize. euro-dollar at 128.79, dollar yen steady, as well, not huge moves. we are firmer the first trading day of the last quarter. yes, it's all downhill or uphill to christmas depending on your point of view. ibex up 0.8%. spanish yields are lower this morning ten year below 6%, 5.92. italian yields also slightly up 5.14. meanwhile plenty of folks on spanish banks, shares have been suspended, that's why that's in black after they approved a right issue. it will report record write downs of 9.3 billion euros. and former unicredit ceo is set to stand trial in milan and other executives over allegations of tax fraud. that trial is taking place in milan and that is where claudia joins us now. claudia, just sketch out for us again the outline of this case. >>
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 2:00pm EDT
lip service, in terms of retirement planning, estate planning, taxes, children, education, all of it. i think that's the reason. >> make men aren't dumber. i think they might be though. i'm not just saying that. are men more risky? are they more prone to take supd gambles? >> they tend to make decisions more impulsively. women tend to study the issues and the investments for a longer period of time and tend to make more considered decisions. >> obviously we have a big woman love-a-thon going on here. to level it out and be fair, i want to highlight a point made in the fidelity survey. it says despite managing more money on average, women nonetheless are still taking home less of it than their older male advisors. why do you think that is and what do they need to do to level that playing field? >> i don't know. i was actually surprised by that statistic also. possibly because they suggested that women are willing to cut their fees and such. but i don't believe that to be the case so i'm not exactly sure. possibly because of the asset allocation. but on the whole, i was surprised by th
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 4:00pm EDT
70% of the price of a gallon of gas. there are other things, marketing, taxes, things like that. we don't know the cause but we know one thing, the oil companies fully integrated make more money when the price of gasoline is higher. so, it's certainly more than coincidental that the price of gasoline stays higher longer than the price of oil. there's no evidence to show that there's something -- that there's a legitimate effort by oil companies to keep gasoline prices higher. it is certainly suspicious and certainly profitable for the oil companies. >> sterling, what's going to get gas prices down? that's all people care about. they keep hearing oil prices are going down, yet they drive to the pump and pay $4.50 or $5 a gallon? >> well, you can work three end of it. you can work it, supply. you can work on demand. and we're doing both of those. and you can work it volatility, which is a huge, huge factor. as i said, gas -- most of the retailers in my area are independent retailers. they don't lock in long-term or can't lock in long-term oil/gasoline contracts. >> but how much -- >>
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 4:00am EDT
's time for a change. if i look at what obama is projecting, it will be higher taxes, higher debt, and it will bei be not much else other than more government spending. and that won't make the difference. so i think fiscal uncertainty has to be removed in order for the corporates to spend the huge amount of cash that they're holding. and at this point not investing. the fiscal -- i don't want to call it the fiscal cliff because that's not so important. the question is getting certainty into the situation for corporates to invest again. >> okay, good to have you on on. plenty more to come from you. but what do you think the jobs number will be? let us know. e-mail or tweet us. so just over an hour into the trading day here in europe. let's show you where we stand. just weighted to the up side. pretty flat day for european stocks. 6:4 advancers currently outpacing decliners. we are a quarter percent higher on the ibex, as well. let's show you where we stand. yields are still below 6%. 5.8% mar begin alley higher. we'll keep our eyes on u.s. yields. we got down to 1.66 is where we st
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 6:00am EDT
and minimize taxes. they got him ted dead to rights again. i don't know if any american cares. do you remember how the kennedys made their money? >> i think there was some boot legging. >> might have been a little boot legging. john kerry married and then left his yacht in providence or something, didn't he. and then john edwards flipping his magnetic business card at all the ambulances going by made $80 million. it's weird, isn't it? >> he was a good lawyer. >> and a hell of a human being, too, johnny. we have ten seconds. >> i don't think additional incremental disclosures about offshore investments will make a big deal. >> all right, my friend, thank you. >>> when we come back, we'll get to kevin ferry from the cme, we'll find out what's most likely to drive action on the second day of the quarter. smart comes with 8 airbags, 3 a crash management system and the world's only tridion safety cell which can withstand over three and a half tons. small in size. big on safety. monarch of marketing analysis. with the ability to improve roi through seo all by cob. and you...rent from national. becau
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 12:00pm EDT
that he's in favor of a tax plain that will kill 700,000 jobs. and so he had the chance to answer those questions, or not answer them as the case may be but then i think even more important was the chance to talk about where we're going in the future. what he would do and what i would do and what he described was in my view a reiteratation of the status quo. he'll keep doing what he's done in the past. he'll have a stimulus. hire more government workers. he's is going to pick winners and losers line solyndra. a friend of mine said no he doesn't like picking winners and lowers he just likes picking losers. and so, of course he's in favor of higher taxes. yesterday the vice president blurted out the truth. he said in fact they do want to raise taxes a trillion dollars. i don't want to raise tax on any americans because i want to create good jobs in america. now, i take america in a very different direction. first of all i want to make sure that our policies encourage job growth and i have five things i'll do, you've heard me describe them time and again. but five things i'll do that will
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 1:00pm EDT
obama election promised was much higher capital gains taxes. he said he wants to move the basic level up to 20%. his affordable care act already puts a 3.8% cap. so we'd be going from 15% to 23.8% for hire earners on capital gains. mitt romney says he wants to repeal obama care which takes out the 3.8% and he will keep the capital gains level at 15% for high earners and 0% all together. what that means is the pressure to sell before the end of the year. because this is all going to hit in january. there was a lot of pressure to say, look, realize your gains this year so you don't get taxed at the higher rate. >> exactly. so i think romney's performance last night made people say, hey, maybe i don't have to sell right now. maybe i can keep going. that gives a boost to the market. >> let's bring in kenny right now. also, another reason maybe not to sell is the fact that this market has been kind of teflon coated. it keeps grinding its way higher. if you don't have to sell because of potential tax changes, go with the flow. >> i understand that argument. and as great as the debate was last
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 2:00pm EDT
, the refineries and the cost it takes, taxes, transportation, all of that is loaded in to the price of a gallon of gasoline. you can't go blame being the oil companies when gas is $3.86 a gallon nationally. >> jane, what is happening on the ground in california? any relief? sight? >> well, it's supposed to be but we're not seeing it at the pump. last week it seemed almost hourly these gas station owners would take their lives in their hands going out to change prices. we've seen prices drop dramatically. price hasn't changed here at costco. still cheaper than the national average but it is not changing right now. this is a map of what some say is the real problem here -- california's lack of refining and production process. look at how few pipelines there are coming in to california. you should see on this map all the pipelines around the u.s. so few coming in to california. so when you have a pipeline problem like we've had had, you've had some refinery problems like you've had and low inventories because of the way of california does its own gasoline, you've got a real problem. but some still
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 4:00am EDT
focusing on taxes, the deficit, remaking head care and job creation, too. romney came out on the offensive, casting the president as a proponent of big government and spending. he would raise taxes on small businesses and obama, though, accused his rival of trying to double down on policies that led to the recession and financial crisis. >> the president has a view very lar similar to the view four years ago. spending more, taxing more, regulating more, trickle down government would work. >> the genius of america is the free enterprise system and freedom. and the fact that people can go out there and start a business, work on an idea, make their own decisions. but as abraham lincoln understood, there are also some things we do better together. >> so the vice presidential candidates, paul ryan and skrjo biden will meet for their only debate next week. president obama and mitt romney head back out to the campaign trail today where the president making stops in colorado and wisconsin. romney will travel to virginia. let's get a bit more into this debate. joining us now for more is a republica
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 6:00am EDT
to agree, we'll go out there and roll back the bush tax cuts, we're going to do this, have sequestered stuff or whatever and so that's going to hurt. >> how would he triangulate if he wins and they lose some of the house, say the democrats keep the senate, how would he triangulate to work with the other side? you don't think he'd let them go for another year or two? >> eventually he's going to have to, but he's going to get pushed into it and things are going to happen that are going to scare the heck out of us before we get there. >> what if romney, how does he screw it up? >> if romney wins it will look like, the stock market is going to say this is great, go up for a little while and people are going to say wait a second, this is austerity. it's going to look like the uk, look like europe. >> because we're 25% of gdp, he's not going to let us stay there, right? >> exactly. >> you'd see many more cuts if he's in, is that good long-term? >> much better long-term. you could argue that's what we ought to do. what we ought to do is painful, but that's where eventually you have to go. eur
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 4:00pm EDT
taxes on wealthy citizens. germany could be next. thousands of people across germany turning out in force this weekend. pushing for new taxes on wealth and financial transactions. demonstrators demanding a fair redistribution of wealth to combat a widening income gap. despite those protests in germany, european markets were higher today. but markets here in the u.s., well, they couldn't hold on to the bigger gains. although 70 points, bob pisani, not a bad return for day one of the forth quarter. >> yeah, i thought it was okay. the reason for the rally, folks, the new orders component of the ism, first data we get on september, was better than expected in growth territory. i thought that was good, modest rally. we were up much, much more earlier on. take a look at the dow jones industrial average. mr. bernanke came on, gave an interesting press conference, didn't say anything new bullet sort of sold into him as he came on and never really regained the earlier leads we had in the day. a couple of on observations, mar maria. the major sectors, the dow was up but well off the highs
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 12:00pm EDT
thought the gm long idea was interesting. he thinks they can earn as much as $6 post taxes in earning per share by 2014, which would make this stock very cheap if he's right. >> moral of the story, einhorn speaks and stock moves. let's move on. what is the u.s. government doing to restore confidence? they're hosting a roundtable to discuss technology and training. we are joined live from washington, d.c. with more on that. aman. >> it's a day-long roundtable ongoing right now. they're hearing from a variety of industry experts from exchanges and from players who are buying and selling stocks. the message that they get from some of these computer experts is that there is no such thing as absolutely perfect software that doesn't have any errors in it. that is a scary message for people who got millions of dollars on the line with some of these software programs that are trading at such high frequency in the market these days. they also heard a variety of reform pro p pofls including this idea from lou pastina from the new york stock exchange. >> we believe a kill switch could be designed at
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 9:00am EDT
depending on which way the electorate goes, you're going to see the deficit reduced either by tax increases or public spending cuts or a bit of both. and i do think the intrenched positions you've had the last year and a half will in the send cause someone to blink, either the administration or congress because ultimately neither will want to push the u.s. into an unnecessary recession next year. the answer is, yes, i expect some compromise. may seem foolish given the behavior of washington in the last few quarters. but having said that, i do think you're going to see some compromise. and ultimately, although it has hurt the market, it won't be too much of a negative going into next year. >> some may argue the more important elections in the next few weeks are the spanish regional elections on the 21st, which may trigger or allow spain to then ask for a bailout. do you think that's the event to watch as opposed to -- earnings season is great, it's not going to be a headwind in your view. but do we really need spain to request a bailout in order for us -- the equity markets to move higher he
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 1:00pm EDT
a plan that romney hs apparently floated for basically a $17,000 cap on tax deductions for americans. explain it. you've crunched the number. what's the headline here? >> tyler, the headline here is that the romney campaign e-mailed me this morning on this. they say they want to make very clear this is not a specific proposal from governor romney, that he's just floating one idea among many. the idea that he's put out there though would be a $17,000 cap on deductions. you could take your mortgage deduction, charitable deductions or other deductions up to $17,000, and then no more. that would definitely raise taxes on some taxpayers, even if romney's able to bring the overall tax rates down, which he says he wants to do. who gets hurt in this scenario? people with huge mortgages. people who donate a lot of money to charity and people who have overall high deductions. they might lose more here than they gain by the rates being lowered overall. that is who's going to get squeezed under this proposal but the romney campaign saying not a specific idea, just kicking around things verbally
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 5:00pm EDT
but it is less than on the hospital side. >> wouldn't a romney victory eliminate the exercise tax? wouldn't that be good for medical devices? going forward, however, in this $500 billion plus spend in the medicare program, $400 billion plus in medicaid, it is going to come out of devices to a large extent. >> it was a great story to this spring, fantastic stock taken out to the wood shed. >> can that rally continue? >> i think so. they mispriced earnings in the first quarter and guided down in the second quarter and had a nice rally. it depends on how they guide for 2013 and there should be growth in there regardless of whether it is bam obama and romney. >> do you think the stocks will predict the victory and the polls? >> the stocks told us the surprising outcome prior to the official decision being announced. >> so when it comes to the polling i think the day before the wall street journal poll the stocks rallied a little the polls were closer. so i see that happening. i think there will be a lot of vol atility with the debates. >> reduced expectations for certain web games. ceo saying
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 9:00am EDT
, if the dividend rate goes up to the marginal income tax rate, this market will give back some of the rally and it will limit the upside for next year. >> is there a point at which you see obama in the polls and you say actually now i believe that we are going to get the tax hikes and the market should fall? there must be a watershed quite soon as we head towards particularly what happens in the house and the senate. >> our focus has been on the senate. we think that's what's going to mostly influence the outcome. i hope there's appetite to see the rates low. i don't see a benefit from raising them. i would call a coin toss on the senate outcome. but wiser minds will see the wisdom of helping the fed in its efforts to stimulate asset prices by not onerously raising taxes on the most important asset class other than homes. >> have you actually calculated a number? you said it would give back some of the rally. but is there a number or a percentage? >> 12-month price target is 1,500. we've written in our research that 1,600 would be a reasonable 2013 end. i need to see an acceleration in glob
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 9:00am EDT
record. president arguing romney's plan on taxes and the deficit are the same types of ideas that caused the recession. here's what romney had to say about tackling the ballooning debt. >> i think it's not just an economic issue. i think it's a moral issue. i think it's frankly not moral for my generation to keep spending massively more than we take in, knowing those burdens are going to be passed on to the next generation. and they're going to be paying the interest and the principal ail their lives. and the amount of debt we're adding at a trillion a year is simply not moral. >> jim, that's a message that is probably pretty effective to a middle-income voter in ohio or pennsylvania. but i know last night you were all about the things that were said about coal, things that were said about solar, and there were a million trades in there last night. >> at jim cramer on twitter, i try to come to play with what i can do, which is that if you wanted to know specific stocks to buy off this, of which by the way, there were many, if you felt that obama were to lose and romney to win, this is a
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 12:00pm EDT
and american luxury consumer to turn over with potential tax increases into next year. the energy call is pretty customary. clearly the obama administration would like to pursue more regulatory policies towards traditional energies where the romney administration would certainly be more friendly towards traditional energy which is a bigger part of the s&p 500 index. financials would benefit under a romney administration due to the perception that some of the more onerous components of dodd-frank may not come to light. >> the financials have had many, many months to prepare for dodd-frank. they know what's coming down the pike. so is it going to make that much of a difference in an obama administration even in an environment where the overall health of the market improves, the economy improves, so financials may do better regardless of who is president next? >> may but i think financials are going to struggle in an environment where investment sensitivity is -- investment spending is starting to deteriorate. one of the other big key takeaways from our survey was just the impact of the c
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 1:00pm EDT
why is easy -- jobs and its taxes. but when you saw these doors open earlier today, thousands of people streamed in within minutes. obviously there is a lot of demand of what's going on here. they're here for one thing and one thing only -- that's to gamble. one-third of all the money made to penn national gaming goes back to the state and city in taxes. the city of columbus expects to get at least $15 million directly next year and that will go a long way. of course, interestingly when you spoke to t i spoke to the city's mayor today, he was just as focused on job creation. the city needed 3,500 workers to build it and 2,000 employees . >> the more jobs you have in a community, the more income there is to the city. >> ohio's considered a swing state. right? but unemployment here has been running well below the national average. we look at a few dealers doing their thing here. been below the national average for a while. looks like today a lot of people played hookie. at least 5,000 people have been here. there are a few notes of caution. number one, the two casinos that were
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 2:00pm EDT
's elected president. obviously we'll have two different tax structures depending on who's elected so the extent of the difficulty will be determined by who wins the election. but at least right now while we assume that the markets priced in an obama victory i honestly think the market right now has its eyes on earnings over the next four weeks and when the election comes, they're going to deal with that election. we've all talked so much about these fiscal issues but either way, whether for good or bad, they're going to get resolved the first tuesday in november. regardless of who wins. so i think earnings right now are driving things but, yes, i agree with art that at least for the last two months of the year a romney win will lead to a rally in the market. i think an obama win will just continue to focus on what's going to be very difficult third and fourth quarter earnings which could lead us lower. >> it is nice to hear that actually earnings may matter for stock prices. that is a shock of shocks, peter. >> thank you. >>> be sure to catch tonight's first presidential debate right
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 4:00am EDT
ten years and they would vote to put off the automatic tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effect in january. but with the deficit coming down payment to signal how serious they are. jim, how sdw this get resolved? >> well, i haven't heard that sister, but that's what we've been picking up, that in the background of all these guys working on the deal already. soon after the election, our best guess is that there will be one. not too different from that story actually. >> qe-3 meanwhile, how does that play? does that continue to support lift asset prices? how do commodities get in the wash between slowing chinese growth and fed action? >> that's a good question. because i think it's a big one. i think we're not three weeks into qe-3 yet and the populous mind set of the markets is that we're done qe-3, let's move on to whatever's next. qe-3 is in my opinion very different from previous qes. the feds tip toe down a path of what i call nominal gdp targeting. we're tying it directly to real economic outcomes. so they're saying they're not going away and they've opened the door to it al
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 4:00am EDT
to make sure this country continues to live within its means and at the same time has a tax system that attracts international businesses to britain p. and one of the encouraging stories is 20 of the largest companies are moving some of their head quarters to the uk. >> but low yields aren't giving us growth. >> all western countries are facing the issue of how they pay their way in the world and how they grow. if you look at the uk, a million jobs in the private sector over the last couple of years and we'll go on making reforms to our tax system to make this the competitive place to come and do business. >> meanwhile britain's largest businesses are adopting more defensive strategies. this is one of the latest findings of the deloitte cfo service. they were asked what their views are on the current operating environment. joining us with more, chief economist at deloitte. good to see you. i suppose we had a record second quarter of declines. >> confidence went through the floor back in june on the result of what's going on in the euro area. you've seen a bit of a bounce. risk appe
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 11:00pm EDT
with yahoo! netting $4.2 billion in cash after taxes and fees. and even better, yahoo! will return about 85% of the cash to you, shareholders. we're either looking at a huge dividend or a gigantic buy back. it would shrink the cap by 19%. that's what makes the stock go higher, not the buy back stock, come out flat. now remember after this transaction yahoo! still owns 20% of ali baba. yahoo! can sell half of the stake at the time when ali baba comes public whenever that might be. how much is it worth? goldman values yahoo!'s remaining ali baba position at $5.8 billion or $4.93 a share. i think that could be a low ball figure given ali baba's legitimate internet growth story. even though they pulled back from the highs it still made people a fortune since it came public in 2005. second, there's yahoo! japan which is a separate company publicly traded on the japanese market. yahoo! owns 35% of this monster and the stake is worth $4.77 billion. that's another $4.03 a share. then we've got the cash itself. by the end of the year goldman expects yahoo! will have $5.84 of cash per share. let's ad
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 9:00am EDT
frequency trading has destroyed a lot. >> and suggesting you tax intraday trades 50%, trades less than a minute, 100%, that would cut down on it in a hurry. >> no one wants to put the genie this the bottle, meaning financial engineering. the s.e.c. has been disgraceful. it's almost like when the interstate commerce came in, completely owned by the refs. like a cuban, like a cooperman, and they are not going to because i think they are captured. >> all right. let's check on bob pisani. i think he may be in that crowd of lifelock. >> yes, we are right here. the ceo is right here behind me. it's still a little early. i think we have a few moments before it's going to open. price talk is well above that. let me talk about where the markets are because a lot of chatter about the fact that the markets look like they are stalled and kind of running out of steam. there's been a lot of talk that we've had the positive ism. market is not doing much. obviously the question is about the spanish aid request. that moves the markets around on an intraday basis. a lot of people trying to position oh t
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 3:00pm EDT
, problems in congress, problems with tax code, the problems in our government, the administration. also, listen, bernanke said -- >> maria, the fact that everyone's saying -- >> we didn't see 2008 coming either. >> the fact that everyone is saying qe is not having any effect means that they really are missing the boat. there was $3 trillion worth of corporate issuance in the year to date so far. $1 trillion worth of bonds were sold by corporations. that reduces, obviously, betters their balance sheets, reduces their rates so for the next ten years these corporations are going to be having the benefit of cheap money. 150 or 100 basis points over treasuries to issue cash, that's a great deal. using that money to buy back stock, using that money to pay dividends. tom lee had a great piece that said the outstanding shares of the new york stock exchange are as low as they have been in 1990. what's happening is you have a run-up to qe. the market anticipates that so of course the response is going to be muted to the qe. subsequent months later we then see the market continue to grind higher.
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 3:00pm EDT
had hoped, tax free. i'm very proud of the team, including my ex-cfo. they really put together a good plan with alibaba. which ever way they do it, probably share buy back, i actually have no idea, that's good for the shareholders. >> you know, it seems to me that it's a real crux or sort of a dilemma that you face when you're in technology and sort of a proponent of, you know, information flow across the world and dealing with a government that withholds information. how do you balance that? of course, i'm talking about the chinese. >> well, that was actually, you know, there were a lot of issues around that. not only with alibaba but also with all of the users in china. to make sure that we were doing the right thing for everyone relative to freedom of information, so that's not going to go away any time soon. it's just going to have many chapters. we're probably only in chapter three. >> what a tremendous fall. i mean, shareholders obviously, yourself included, have watched the company lose a tremendous amount of market value. you think yahoo! can get it back? >> i think they can.
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 6:00pm EDT
share. let's add up all the cash and investments. give $14.85 sans tax considerations but we haven't talked about the core business yet. right now it's trading at $15.82. in other words, when you consider the stake in yahoo! japan and the remaining stake in ali baba which is worth a bundle and the cash which is well, cash, then the market is valuing the core business, yahoo! search, yahoo! finance, yahoo! sports, these stocks, tremendous gravitas, at $1 a share. yahoo! believes it's worth $7.17 which means it it was to trade at $22. that's a remarkable, remarkable move you need to catch. it could be worth even more frankly. if you believe as i do that she has what it takes to turn this business around. again, i need to see mobile and i need to see social because that's where all the winners in tech have. bottom line when yahoo! was a headless company with no strategy for monetizing its assets it made sense for the stock to trade down here. now it has leadership and a turn around plan that we'll hear more about and the company is unlocking the hidden value like with ali baba. that m
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 6:00pm EDT
this first statement by the president about corporate jets. >> why wouldn't we eliminate tax breaks for corporate jets? my attitude is if you have a corporate jet, can you probably afford to pay full freight, not get a special break for it. >> now watch romney on defense. >> finally, military. the president's re-elected you'll see dramatic cuts to our military. the secretary of defense said these would be even devastating. i will not cut our commitment to our military. >> if you're like me, you realize the general dynamics is at both of the issues. if president obama is going back to that 2009 rhetoric, gulf stream jets could be hammered. when you think of big defense programs that could be boosted by a romney presidency, go no further than general dynamics. you can see a real hit to earnings if the budget cuts become a reality. romney is green lighting lockheed martin and gruman. now about half way into the debate romney gave us a fabulous short idea with this clip. >> you put $90 billion, like 50 years worth of breaks into solar and wind to solyndra and tesla and i had a friend wh
CNBC
Oct 7, 2012 7:30pm EDT
to raise taxes and close loopholes. uh got to have all the three working in concert to de-leverage out of the system we are in. $40 billion makes sense to me. qe3 makes sense to me up to a point. i did note in the minutes that i would read from the minute that is if unemployment is above say 6.5% and inflation is below 3%, you're going to continue to see qe3 from one month to the next, but one you are getting close to the numbers they will start to shut it down. $40 billion a month will inflate the monetary supply by 15% a year. that's not something we are accustomed to seeing. we are de-leveraging but at some point inflation creeps into the process. >> tom, what about the civil suit that we saw this week, the civil suit by new york state attorney general against jpmorgan chase, they are alleging widespread company by the bear stearns business by the sale of mortgage-backed securities back in 2008. first, do you think this is a day late and dollar short and is it fair to target jpmorgan chase since they were forced to acquire the company during the financial crisis? >> it is always tou
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